Expert Says BTC Price is Driven by Fear

An expert has revealed that fear in the market could actually be one of the strongest forces pushing Bitcoin’s price higher. While many investors panic during times of uncertainty, new research shows that these fearful moments often mark the beginning of a major rebound.

According to a recent report by Copper, which analyzed forty past fear events, Bitcoin tends to drop by around ten to twelve percent within three to four weeks after the Crypto Fear and Greed Index falls below 40. This level signals that investors are nervous or uncertain. However, once that fear settles, the report shows that Bitcoin usually bounces back strongly, gaining between fifteen and thirty percent within the next six to ten weeks.

The report suggests that the current market situation in October 2025 fits this pattern almost perfectly. Bitcoin recently dipped to around $102,000 to $103,000, a level experts believe could be the bottom of the fear-driven decline. If the pattern continues as history suggests, Bitcoin may recover to around $125,000 to $130,000 by mid-December.

Although the month of October is often known as “Uptober” because Bitcoin normally performs well, this year has been weaker than expected. So far, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has gained only about one percent in October. Still, experts believe that the bull-run is not over yet and that Bitcoin might climb back to its all-time highs above $126,000 before the end of the year.

Market confidence, however, has dropped slightly. Data from Polymarket shows that the odds of Bitcoin reaching $130,000 in 2025 have fallen from 86 percent to just 54 percent. This has made some investors question whether the current bull-run is losing strength or if Bitcoin’s market cycles are simply becoming longer and slower.

Even with this uncertainty, Copper believes the next big move could push Bitcoin toward $150,000 in early 2026. The firm describes the current pullback as a “reset, not a reversal,” meaning the decline is a healthy correction in an ongoing bull market.

Copper’s head of research, Fadi Aboulafa, explained that fear often triggers short-term sell-offs followed by strong recoveries. He noted that the latest dip looks similar to past exhaustion points, which often mark the start of a new upward trend.

The report also mentioned unique factors shaping this cycle, including Donald Trump’s trade tensions with China and the influence of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds introduced in early 2024. These ETFs have reduced volatility and drawn more institutional investors into the market, making price swings less extreme but more stable overall.

In the end, the message from experts is clear: fear is not always a bad thing. In the world of Bitcoin, it may be the very signal that another big recovery is just around the corner.

Major players like Canaan Inc. (NASDAQ: CAN) in the crypto industry will be hoping that the leading cryptos continue to perform well because more investors and Wall Street actors will flock into the industry and cement its place in mainstream finance.

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